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The CD 1987-2005 - R.I.P

CdWhen will the download music business really tip? I'll say pretty soon. And it will happen as the CD market will totally collapse.

Last week I made these experiences:

1. My wife and I was talking about selling our CD collection (which probably contains one of Scandinavia's finest collection of Brazilian music) - we agreed we will, but none of us really dare to. And it feels quite weird selling a collection which was refilled only one day before.

2. Before having the opportunity to ask about the interest in our city's largest second hand CD store we discovered they sell out all of their CD's for SEK 30 ($4) "I am so sick and tired of the CD business", the manager told my wife. They will now concentrate on vinyl only.

We gave our vinyl collection away only a month ago, to the Salvation Army. Now we have obviously realised we should have done the same thing with our CD's.

Who will actually buy a CD now, knowing its second hand value is zero, already when you walk out of the store?

The only reason would be convenience - a simple way to move the music from the seller to your device. But as devices are getting more and more easy to use that convenience will become out of date.

May the CD rest in peace

Relief for the music industry

Citing Russel Davies: sooner or later everthing real will become digital and everthing digital will become real. 

Isn't that something for the recording industry to be happy about. We still want real stuff. Figure out what, give it to us and stop crying.Mariostage_4

 

Music industry goes from worries to panic

Ever heard about Internet2? The inter university network that allows you to download a movie whithin a couple of minutes and a song in less than 20 seconds. If you haven't, you probably will soon, over and over again.

According to Washington Post the network has become very popular among students for file-sharing because of the speed. And no wonder. This sounds like convenience! But this is also something RIAA (Recording Industry Association of America) has found out and they are showing it by sueing 405 students at 18 US universities for illegal actions such as copying and sharing movies and music.

"This is an emerging epidemic," RIAA President Cary Sherman said yesterday. "We cannot allow a zone of lawlessness where the normal rules do not apply."

Normal ruels do not apply? It's your business model that doesn't apply!! And you haven't got it have you? Like in every normal business, customers are innovators. They use available technlogy to benefit from increased quality, higher performance, less lead-time or lower costs. Most other business understands that at that is what drives the economy forward.

Why are the music and movie industries uncapable to understand this?

Probably because they never have cared about the customer. And that's why a latent hate against the industries now has turned into a deep acceptance of every action that violates the industry. This will go on until they get it - innovate or die!

Now, where can I get this Internet2?

Why I don't give my support to the music industry

What about if I started a computer retail business and got the excellent idea of using no staff but just put the stuff on a truck, place it in the middle of the city and ask people to take what they want and pay by putting their money in the register themselves. And it wouldn't work, instead some people would just take the stuff without paying.

Would you then support or blame me?

To me that's where the music industry is right now. People are stealing their products, basically because the industry has put their products on the market, without security guards.

But ethically, shouldn't people pay for the products they know somebody else has produced?

Well, that depends on whether people really perceive the products as - products.

In the early nineties when the CD was introduced something peculiar happened. The new format was charged about 50 - 100 per cent above vinyl records, eventhough the increase in production cost didn't come close to that. The duplication of a CD actually is a lot cheaper.

That means the value of the music is still at the most only 50 - 66 per cent of what a CD costs.  Then retail mark ups, distribution costs, production of CDs and covers would make up at least 50 per cent of that remaining price. Leaving the same margin for the music companies, a CD for $20 would then retail for $5 distributed on the Internet. That means about 30-50 cents per tune. Not 99.

But the most important lesson from the early nineties increase is not that actual cost transparency. It's the proof that that the music industry never has sold music at all. They have sold convenience. Convenience to play music whenever we want to, convenience to play it where we want, how many times we want. How else would they be able to increase the price with as much as 100 per cent for the same music. Because the CD offered more convenience.

That convenience is exactly what people using filesharing programs don't need anymore. Some of us do. To me the CD is still very practical as I am not that technologically savvy. If my computer breaks down (which happened recently) or my Ipod gets stolen (which also happened recently), I still have access to my music. That is also the reason why I am still buying CDs. But there is a whole new generation now growing up that never will be used to that convenience, and those are the ones the industry risks to loose forever.

What the music industry needs to understand is that these young people, and others who know to use filesharing software don't think they steal music. Because music has always been free. It plays on the radio, on TV, in nightclubs. We have since the early seventies been able to share it among friends and record it for our own use. Music is free. It's in the air for Christ's sake. What we can pay for is the convenience to save it, distribute it to our different devices and lend it to our friends.

So what should the music industry do?  Of course what they always have been good at. Offer convenience:

  • Don't just let us rent the music (as when it's downloaded and fixed on only one computer) - help people continue buidling the optimal music library
  • Release new music more frequently and give subscribers acces to versions they otherwise wouldn't have had
  • Add more material to CDs and DVDs such as exclusive invitations to concerts, movies, interaction with the stars, collectables etc

But, they should never blame the customer. Because the customer basically like the convenience they have been offered. But now the industry haven't kept up with time. And until they do, and while they drag the small people in to the courts, we will just detest them.